Hello, this is an information review of climate events in the world. In the current release we will see:

1. The Gulf Stream may disappear.

2. Climate review for the week.

3. An example of kindness and humanity from Xuzhou Province in China.

4. How we react in different life situations.

The Gulf Stream is a warm sea current in the Atlantic Ocean. It originates in the Gulf of Mexico near the equator, and then moves along the coast of the United States through the northern part of the Atlantic Ocean and reaches northwestern Europe. This is a whole system of warm currents. The length of the Gulf Stream covers a distance of 10 thousand km, the width is 150-200 km, and the thickness of the stream is 700-800 m. The mass of water in the Gulf Stream is comparable to the mass of all rivers flowing on land. The volume of water reaches 25 million m3 per second. The current, due to its bright blue color, stands out noticeably against the background of the green and gray color of the ocean water. Thanks to the Gulf Stream, a lot of heat comes to Northern Europe and in winter the temperature is 15-20 ° C higher than in other countries of the same latitude. For the same reason, the seaports on the coast of Norway and the Russian northern port of Murmansk are ice-free all year round. And winter in London and Paris are warmer than south of Labrador. The climate varies considerably on the planet along the course of the Gulf Stream.

Recently, scientists have increasingly reported that the Gulf Stream is slowing down and changing its direction, and may soon stop altogether. The researchers say that due to the melting of the glaciers of Greenland, a lot of fresh water enters the northern waters of the Atlantic Ocean, which tends to stay at the surface due to its lower density than that of salt water, thereby upsetting the balance of the huge current. This will entail a sharp cooling in Western Europe and on the east coast of North America.

In the next issues we will tell you more about the Gulf Stream. Stay with us.

As a result of the storm "Nate", which hit Central America at a speed of up to 47 m / s, more than 50 people were injured.

During the day, 273 earthquakes were recorded on the Planet. Of these, 47 have magnitudes over 4.0. The maximum magnitude was 5.4.

In the west of the states of South and North Carolina, 22 tornadoes swept through. Thousands of people have been evacuated.

Russia. As a result of heavy rains in the Zelenograd district of the Kaliningrad region, the streets were flooded. A state of emergency has been introduced.

During the day, 280 earthquakes were recorded on the Planet. Of these, 48 have magnitudes over 4.0. The maximum magnitude was 6.3.

SOUTH AFRICA. In the provinces of Mpumalanga, Gauteng, Free State swept 6 tornadoes. This is a new record for the most tornadoes in a single day in Africa.

In Durban, streets were flooded as a result of heavy rain.

Portugal. Forest fires broke out in the central regions of the country.

USA. An abnormal temperature drop occurred in Denver, Colorado. On October 7, the air temperature in the city was +26 °C.

During the day, 381 earthquakes were recorded on the Planet. Of these, 68 have magnitudes over 4.0. The maximum magnitude was 6.7.

Vietnam. The rains brought by the tropical depression caused severe flooding and landslides in the northwestern and central regions of the country. More than 30 thousand houses were damaged. More than 17 thousand people were evacuated.

During the day, 405 earthquakes were recorded on the Planet. Of these, 54 have magnitudes over 4.0. The maximum magnitude was 6.7.

Brazil. As a result of heavy rain flooded the streets of Porto Alegre.

Great Britain. Heavy rains led to floods in Cumbria. More than 200 mm of precipitation fell in places.

During the day, 333 earthquakes were recorded on the Planet. Of these, 51 have magnitudes over 4.0. The maximum magnitude was 5.3.

Thailand. Heavy rains led to powerful floods in the city of Chiang Mai in the north of the country.

Brazil. Strong winds affected the municipalities of Clevelandia, Mariopolis and the city of Pato Branco. More than a hundred buildings were damaged. Power lines were cut and dozens of trees were broken.

Bolivia. A storm with hail hit the city of Sucre.

USA. A tornado swept through Clackamas County, Oregon.

SOUTH AFRICA. A forest fire broke out in Cape Town, Western Cape.

During the day, 367 earthquakes were recorded on the Planet. Of these, 66 have magnitudes over 4.0. The maximum magnitude was 5.7.

Philippines. Tropical Storm Odette has hit the northern Philippine island of Luzon with wind speeds of up to 25 m/s.

Vietnam. Heavy rain caused flooding in the streets of Ho Chi Minh City.

Russia. In St. Petersburg, 70% of the monthly rainfall fell within five days.

During the day, 320 earthquakes were recorded on the Planet. Of these, 53 have magnitudes over 4.0. The maximum magnitude was 5.0.

Recently, there has been a noticeable drop in the water level in many large lakes. So, in 2016, the mineral lake Poopo with an area of ​​1300 square meters evaporated in Bolivia. km. Since 1979, the Caspian Sea has been shallowing at a rate of 7 cm per year. Scientists suggest that at this rate the northern part of the sea will disappear in the next 75 years. They see the reason in global warming, which intensifies the process of water evaporation.

It is believed that the drying of the seas increases volcanic activity. For example, the Mediterranean Sea, during the Messinian peak of salinity, dried up and filled up 8 times. Evaporating, the water helped relieve pressure on the earth's surface, which could cause bursts of volcanic activity.

In the state of California in the US, ongoing wildfires have spread to 77,000 hectares. 808 people were injured. 20 thousand inhabitants were evacuated. More than 3.5 thousand buildings were destroyed. Completely burned out the city of Santa Rosa. This fire was the largest in the state in 84 years.

During the week, 35 volcanoes were in the stage of eruption. The Shimmoe volcano in Japan on October 12, 2017 erupted for the first time in 6 years. Ashfalls fell in four cities located near the volcano.

During the week, 376 earthquakes occurred within a radius of up to 20 km from active volcanoes and at a depth not exceeding 20 km. The most active volcanoes were Akyarlar in Turkey, Klia Lake and Mount Mammoth in California, Krisuvik in Iceland. There were also 22 earthquakes within 20 km of the Yellowstone caldera with a maximum magnitude of 1.7.

In just a week, more than 19,000 people became climate refugees.

In our videos, we constantly call and talk about the importance of unity. That only by uniting we, people, are able to survive the impending cataclysms. Let's now take a look at how we act in various life situations, what we say and what thoughts we prefer. Let's remember how we react when someone steps on our foot or inadvertently pushes us in public transport. How do we react when they do not give way on the road, they “cut off”. Also, let's remember similar cases in our lives ... And then let's think about whether we can remain human and help others when an emergency evacuation is announced due to a natural disaster? Will we be able to lend a helping hand when the massive rush comes? These are very important points. And it is important to be honest with yourself about this. Only by observing “yourself”, you can see that without daily monitoring of thoughts, words, reactions that arise in the mind and behavior, it will not be possible to react humanly, to act wisely in situations that arise. This requires the experience of educating yourself as a Personality. It is important to be a good example for others. After all, looking at us, the people around us read the model of behavior and act in accordance with it. The choice is for each of us! Uniting people is the key to the survival of mankind!

As they say in the book by A. Novykh “Birds and stone. Primordial Shambhala”:

“In life, a person is exactly running through a forest teeming with thoughts of the material principle. And in this forest there are a lot of tricks, hooks, nets, dug holes. But one must run with open eyes. He must learn to evade and see these traps, to understand that all this is not his ...

It is certainly necessary to solve problems, but not to turn them into the meaning of one's existence. And most importantly, no matter what happens, no matter how you are thrown from problem to problem, it is important to always remain a Human. Because any of your troubles in life is, first of all, nothing more than a test for your animal “lice”. Therefore, a spiritually stable person simply does not give a damn about the fact that he periodically has certain difficulties. He copes with them, but does not allow their enslaving dominance in thoughts. And a stupid person succumbs to this provocation of his animal and allows himself to be led like a donkey to a carrot suspended in front of him, without even noticing that he is approaching the edge of the abyss. So essentially, any external problem that you take seriously is your internal problem, a personal internal conflict between you and your animal. Everything is in you!...

Live in a good way, in a good way, with God in your soul. Don’t do anything bad, even if it’s not profitable for you…”.

You can learn more about our activities, tasks and goals in the article: “Team of the project “Climate control”. Unity in spirit breeds unity in the world!”

You can read about climate events in the world and solving climate problems in the report of ALLATRA SCIENCE scientists “On the problems and consequences of global climate change on Earth. Effective ways to solve these problems".

Meteorologists scare the world with unprecedented frosts that will fall on Europe, including a solid part of Russia. According to them, an extraordinary ice age is coming, and the coming winter may be the most severe in this part of the world in the last millennium. And the reason for everything is the cooling of the Gulf Stream. But is it?

THEN IN THE HEAT, THEN IN THE COLD

The cooling of Europe is already evident, Polish scientists believe. And all because the warm current of the Gulf Stream cools down and ceases to protect it from arctic frosts. In their opinion, only in the past five years, the speed of its movement has fallen by half. According to climatologists from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, these changes are already noticeable in Norway and several other Scandinavian countries. If the slowdown of the Gulf Stream continues, it will disappear completely, Polish experts fear, and then the whole of Europe will be hidden under massive glaciers.

However, predictions about a change in the behavior of the Gulf Stream have been heard for more than a year. British scientists were the first to sound the alarm: according to their estimates, due to the slowdown of the Gulf Stream in Britain and other European countries, it is about to become frosty, like in Russia in winter, because they are at the same latitude. This conclusion was made by a British polar expert, prof. Cambridge University Soror Peter Wadhams. According to his observations, significant changes in the waters of the Greenland Sea have been noticeable in the last 20 years. The fact is that over a long geological period, the flows of icy water in the Greenland Sea - the so-called craters - warm up due to the fact that they descend from the surface of the ocean to the seabed by almost three thousand meters, where they interact with the warm flow of the Gulf Stream flowing from the south . However, according to Wadhams, the number of these craters has recently decreased by six times. This causes a weakening of the Gulf Stream and, as a result, a decrease in air temperature in Northern Europe.

How does this threaten flora and fauna? Many species will be on the verge of extinction, and the wild Arctic nature will disappear altogether. According to Wadhams, this could happen in the next ten years. And this is only the beginning of a large-scale process of dramatic climate change for humanity, the scientist believes.

Next, German oceanologists from the Leibniz Institute for Marine Problems in Kiel (Germany) became worried. Professor Mojib Latif said: The Gulf Stream slows down the transport of tropical waters from the equator to the North Atlantic, America and Europe, which will cause a certain decrease in temperatures in the atmosphere of these areas and will affect the global climate. True, the trend will last no more than ten years, after which the circulation of ocean currents will be restored, the professor reassures.

Indeed, the Gulf Stream is slowing down and cooling down, agrees Andrey Kapitsa, Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Head of the Department of Environmental Management and Ecology at the Faculty of Geography of Moscow State University. This process has been going on for more than a dozen years, thus confirming the fact of global cooling on our planet. Caused by a number of controversial geophysical phenomena - such as changing solar activity, shifting the magnetic poles and the earth's axis - it has been going on for at least three centuries. “There is no global warming, it was invented by interested parties and inspired by gullible people,” a well-known geographer told us.

The fact that this summer was hot does not mean anything. This has already happened more than once. So, in Pushkin's "Boris Godunov" a three-year drought is very accurately described, although there were severe frosts in winter. But a person, according to the scientist, does not have a noticeable effect on these processes. “It's megalomaniac to think that we can seriously damage nature,” says the researcher. "Fortunately, that's not the case."

HEAT AND DAMP

“The fears of our colleagues are not groundless,” says Academician Yury Izrael, director of the Institute for Global Climate and Ecology of Roshydromet and the Russian Academy of Sciences.

Theoretically, the cooling of the Gulf Stream is possible, so the problem was given a lot of attention in its time. In 2007, the international group of experts on climate change (IPEI) completed its five-year work K), I was its chairman. The commission came to the conclusion that the human factor in recent decades has been of great importance - more than all volcanoes combined. This has never happened before in the history of the Earth. In the next hundred years, the ocean is predicted to rise by 50 cm, the coastal strip may be flooded, and this is a difficult test for the inhabitants of the coast. The air temperature will increase, according to various estimates, on average from one and a half to 4.5 degrees. This is a very dangerous prediction. But the version that the Gulf Stream is freezing has not been confirmed. This is only possible if the Greenland Shield is completely melted. So far it hasn't come to this. An oil spill will not change the situation either - on a geological scale, this man-made disaster is negligible."

Although, the academician emphasizes, the state of ecological systems causes serious concern. “Three years ago we came to the conclusion that due to global warming, 20-30% of plants and animals may be at increased risk of extinction. Now the risk is even higher.”

The anthropogenic impact on the ocean in recent years is quite large, agrees the head of the laboratory for the interaction of the ocean and anthropogenic processes at the Institute of Oceanology of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Shirshova Petr Zavialov. “Our research vessel Akademik Ioffe, with the help of a shipborne fluorescent lidar, performed a number of studies on the spatial variability of the content of dissolved organic substances and oil products in various zones of the World Ocean. Areas of high levels of pollution were noted in areas immediately adjacent to large ports. We managed to calculate the index of variability of chlorophyll content to oil products. In our opinion, this indicator and characterizes anthropogenic impacts. Where there is a lot of pollution, there is practically no life.”

More recently, oceanologists have developed a new method in oceanological practice for studying the sea - the method of "fluoro-vision" of the sea surface. A high-frequency scanning ultraviolet laser was placed on board a small aircraft, with which you can get a panorama of the fluorescence of the sea.

This idea formed the basis for the project of an aviation fluorescent scanning lidar - it can be widely used to detect water pollution by oil products or other organic substances. “Of course, we did not conduct such studies in the Gulf of Mexico, where a powerful oil spill occurred in April, but I think if we were asked to do this, the scale of the disaster would be shocking,” Zavyalov sums up. - But could it affect the Gulf Stream? I think no".

By the way, Zavyalov's colleague at the institute, Anatoly Sagalevich, head of the laboratory for deep-sea habitable submersibles, offered his assistance to the American side in cleaning up oil-polluted waters - the Mir deep-sea submersibles could cope with this task. However, the proposal was rejected - according to Sagalevich, for purely political reasons.

RESCUE OF THE DROWNING

But Josh Willis, an oceanologist from NASA, considers it a proven fact that over the past 18 years the Gulf Stream has not only not slowed down its course, but, on the contrary, has become more powerful and warmer. The scientist painstakingly collected data from research vessels and space satellites that observed the sea surface, comparing data on the heights of the sea mirror from orbit and from ships and meteorological buoys. According to buoy data, it turned out that the amount of warm water carried by the Gulf Stream from the Gulf of Mexico to Portugal in 2002-2008 did not increase significantly. But information from satellites showed that since 1993 the warm stream has become more powerful by 20 percent and warmer by two tenths of a degree. The Gulf Stream is still the most powerful river in the world, says the oceanologist, and nothing has so far been able to weaken its currents.

If so, then the oil spill may lead not to a cooling, but to a “boiling” of the Gulf Stream, Russian researchers suggested. Igor Yanitsky, a veteran of the All-Russian Research Institute of Mineral Resources, head of the Center for Instrumental Observations of the Environment and Geophysical Forecasts, believes that the abnormal heat in Europe this summer is proof of this, and next summer we can “fry” even more. According to such forecasts, a deadly black spot in the Gulf of Mexico, grabbing the Gulf Stream originating in this place by the “throat”, is about to reach the Arctic ice, the oil film will capture up to 50% of the oceans, will lead to the melting of ice and the approaching dates of global warming . As a result - large-scale natural disasters - tornadoes, storms and hurricanes that will smash the entire planet to pieces. The number of victims of the elements can be calculated in many millions of people - such a large-scale scenario of the end of the world could not be realized even by the most daring creator of fantastic blockbusters.

The reason for such aggressive behavior of the Gulf Stream Yanitsky considers the minimum solar activity, which is recorded by astrophysicists. “The extravagant theory of the famous Russian scientist of the last century Alexander Chizhevsky about the all-pervasive influence of the Sun is especially relevant today,” Yanitsky believes. “Moreover, the daylight affects not only the course of certain geophysical processes, but also the state of the biosphere, the well-being and behavior of people.”

According to Janitsky, the ecological catastrophe in the Gulf of Mexico is one of the stupa her stairs leading to a new Great Flood, which will occur in the coming years. “What will cause it? asks the geophysicist. - This is clearly stated in the Holy Scripture - the wrong behavior of people. This is not just religious literature, but a source of reliable knowledge about the past of our planet. So, and material for forecasts for the future. From the standpoint of modern geological science, the historical reality of many of the processes described there is quite obvious. For example, in the pictures of the destruction of Sodom and Gomorrah, the processes of rifting in the Dead Sea are practically documented, accompanied by huge emissions of hydrogen sulfide and instantly ignited methane, and the formation of salt domes. It is necessary to read the biblical texts more carefully - then many mistakes can be avoided.

THE TRUTH IS IN THE MIDDLE

“The fluctuations in the temperature of sea currents, as well as the average annual air temperature, are a normal phenomenon,” says Academician Anatoly Dmitrievsky, director of the Institute for Oil and Gas Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences. - There were geological periods when the Earth was cold and giant glaciers formed on the North American continent. But for a number of reasons, they began to melt, large volumes of cold fresh water accumulated in the Great Lakes region, and one day they poured into the warm salty waters of the Atlantic. This happened several hundred years ago, and it was then, according to this hypothesis, that the Gulf Stream began to cool. As a result, it will become cooler on the shores washed by it, and the climate will stabilize. I don't see anything fatal here. But to what extent are humans involved in climate change? There are two categories of scientists: some argue that the anthropogenic factor is extremely important, others are sure that this is not the case and the influence of the same volcanoes or ultraviolet radiation is much more noticeable. I don't belong to any of these groups, but I think the truth is somewhere in between. A person can do things, and it is better to measure seven times before making certain decisions. on geospheric-biospheric changes - such as the reversal of rivers or the draining of swamps.

A person is not able to turn back, “freeze” or “warm up” the Gulf Stream, the academician believes. In his opinion, the accident is capable of harming the oceanic flora and fauna, but cannot significantly affect the behavior of this current. Oil, being on the surface of the water, begins to oxidize and decompose, the scientist explained. It soon settles to the bottom and, like any organic compound, will be absorbed by shellfish and other marine microorganisms. Emanations of water flows due to the ingress of oil on the surface of the ocean can occur, but only for short periods. Not only to the Arctic ice - even to the shores of Europe, oil, in principle, cannot reach, so this will not bring global climatic consequences. It would be another matter if such a spill had occurred somewhere in the northern waters: due to the low temperature, the oil would have remained afloat and would not decompose much longer, and its effect on ocean currents would have been much more noticeable. Can this happen? “In principle, yes,” sums up the academician.

In the meantime, talk that the Earth is about to turn into an endless icy Solaris or, conversely, into a waterless, sun-scorched desert is horror stories that should be taken not as a reason for panic, but as an opportunity to think about the future of the fragile and rather defenseless " the cradle of humanity." We don't have another one.

WHAT WILL THE WEATHER BE THIS WINTER?

The European part of Russia and, in particular, Moscow is really waiting for frosty weather, warns the head of Roshydromet Alexander Frolov. 25-30 degrees below zero and no thaws - Russian meteorologists advise preparing for such frosts. However, Frolov emphasizes, this is a preliminary forecast, and even if it comes true, cold weather should not be considered a sign of global climate change.

Natalia Leskova

"Miracles and Adventures", 1/2011

Everyone knows from school that the Gulf Stream warms entire continents. So imagine what happens when it completely changes direction. Now this process is underway and this explains many natural disasters...

Scientists have confirmed that the famous Gulf Stream ocean current has finally changed its direction. Now it does not reach Svalbard, but turns towards Greenland, which contributes to warmer weather on the American continent, but “freezes” northern Siberia.

The stoppage of the Gulf Stream was first reported by Dr. Gianluigi Zangari, a theoretical physicist at the Frascati Institute in Italy, in a journal article on June 12, 2010. The article is based on satellite data from the Colorado Aerodynamic Research Center, coordinated with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the US Navy . The author pointed to the stoppage of the rotation of water flows in the Gulf of Mexico and the division of the Gulf Stream into parts. Subsequently, the images were changed on the server of the Colorado Center for Aerodynamic Research, and now it is difficult to say by whom and when.

How was the flow

The colder and denser Labrador current “dipped” under the warm and lighter current of the Gulf Stream, without preventing it from heating Europe, reaching Murmansk. Then the Labrador Current “surfaced” off the coast of Spain under the name of the cold Canary Current, crossed the Atlantic, reached the Caribbean Sea, warmed up and, passing through a loop in the Gulf of Mexico, already under the name Gulf Stream rushed unhindered back to the North.

The Gulf Stream was part of the thermohaline circulation system, a key element in the planet's thermal regulation. It separated England and Ireland from becoming a glacier.

Smoothed out the climate in the Scandinavian countries.

After Dr. Zangari's report, the Canadian Parliament created a commission to find out the real state of affairs with the Gulf Stream near the coast of the state. It was headed by well-known US oceanologist Ronald Rabbit, a technologist for processing the biomass of the oceans and improving the environment. A special dye that does not harm the flora and fauna of the ocean was poured into containers exploding at a certain depth and, thus, tracked the flow of movement of water masses. The Gulf Stream as an existing current was not discovered.

But, as it turned out, a self-regulating system called the Earth "worked" this time too. According to research, the current “creeped” 800 miles (1481 kilometers) east of the former Gulf Stream zone. According to satellite images, the temperature of this current has increased relative to the Gulf Stream. This means that the evaporation rate has increased in the warm zone above the ocean.

Consequences of stopping the Gulf Stream for Russia

A group of Russian scientists led by Valery Karnaukhov, deputy director of the Institute of Cell Biophysics in Pushchino, on the instructions of the Russian Emergencies Ministry, in April 2000, calculated the scenario according to which events in Russia would develop. The script turned out to be much more dramatic than Emmerich's.

So, suppose the Gulf Stream has risen, warm water does not enter the Arctic, and the Arctic is more and more covered with ice. Eventually, a huge ice dam forms along the northern coast of Russia. A dam against which the most powerful Siberian rivers abut: the Yenisei, the Lena, the Ob, and so on. At the end of the 20th century, the flood of the Lena, which did not have time to break from the ice, led to a real disaster and actually destroyed the city of Lensk. After the formation of the Siberian ice dam, there will be no such "time" any more. Every year, ice jams on the rivers will become more powerful, and spills - more and more extensive.

In the early 1950s, the USSR developed and almost put into production a project to create a man-made West Siberian Sea. Huge dams were supposed to block the currents of the Ob and Yenisei at the exit to the ocean. As a result, the entire West Siberian lowland would have been flooded, the country would have received the world's largest Severo-Obskaya hydroelectric power station, and the evaporation of the new sea, comparable in area to the Mediterranean, should have greatly softened the sharply continental Siberian climate. However, unfortunately or fortunately, shortly before the start of the project, the largest oil reserves were found in the area subject to flooding, and the “seabuilding” had to be postponed. Now, what man could not do, nature will do. Only the ice dam will be somewhat higher than the one we were going to build. Consequently, the spill will be larger. Ice dams will gradually block river flows. Water from the Ob and Yenisei, not finding an outlet to the ocean, will flood the lowlands. The water level in the new sea will rise until it reaches 130 meters.

After that, it will begin to flow to Europe through the Turgai hollow, located in the eastern part of the Ural Mountains. The resulting stream will wash away a 40-meter layer of soil and expose the granite bottom of the hollow. As the channel expands and deepens, the level of the young sea will eventually fall to 90 meters. Excess water will fill the Turan lowland, the Aral Sea will merge with the Caspian, and the level of the latter will rise by more than 80 meters. Further, water along the Kumo-Manych depression will spill into the Don. These will actually be the greatest Siberian rivers turned towards Europe, and not some miserable 7% of the Ob, which, in the case of the famous project, should have watered the whole of Central Asia, but 100% of the same Ob and 100% of the Yenisei.

The Central Asian republics will be under water, and the Don will turn into the most full-flowing river in the world, next to which the Amazon or the Amur will look like foolish streams. The width of the stream will reach 50 kilometers or more. The level of the Sea of ​​Azov will rise so much that it will flood the Crimean peninsula and merge with the Black Sea. Further water through the Bosphorus will go to the Mediterranean Sea. But the Bosphorus will not cope with such volumes. The Krasnodar Territory, part of Turkey and almost all of Bulgaria will go under water. Scientists allocate 50-70 years for everything about everything. By this time the northern part of Russia, the Scandinavian countries, the Netherlands, Denmark, Finland, almost all of Great Britain, most of Germany and France will be covered with ice.

Slowing Gulf Stream causes weather anomalies

Senior researcher at the Institute of Cell Biophysics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, climatologist Alexei Karnaukhov spoke about the causes of weather anomalies and climate change on our planet.

What is happening to our climate? Why does it rain in Russia in January, while in America it snows?

- A question to the Armenian radio: "Where did the Russian winter go? She went to work in America." Such a joke. To be serious, we are developing several processes in the Earth's climate sphere. The first main process, against which all the others unfold, is global warming, associated with the release of large amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

Over the past 100 years, the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased by 40 percent, almost one and a half times. This indicator exceeded the significant value of 400 ppm, the so-called 400 parts per million. The pre-industrial value was approximately 280 ppm. Such a significant increase significantly changes the heat balance of our planet. If it were not for the influence of the oceans, then the temperature increase on our planet today would be 10 degrees, compared with the pre-industrial era.

Those same 10 degrees in 2010, 30 records were set that year, and in fact, this was due to the fact that the air masses were formed in such a way that the sea could no longer cool those air masses that were over the territory of Russia. And this is very important, because such anomalous heat waves, or heat waves, will be repeated every year more often. They will be of greater importance than these anomalies, and say, in 30-40 years we may have not 40 degrees in Moscow, as in 2010, but all 50. At the same time, a process is developing that is a consequence of global warming.

- This is a change in the direction of the current in the oceans. The fact is that all the diversity of currents that we observe in the seas and oceans today was formed from certain climatic conditions, the climate is changing, the distribution of heat is changing, wind flows are changing, the pattern of currents is changing.

In particular, a very important current for the entire climate of Europe, Russia and America is the Gulf Stream, which may stop as a result of global warming. The mechanism for stopping the Gulf Stream is described in my 1994 paper.

Briefly describe what it looks like...

- Very simple. As a result of global warming, Arctic glaciers are melting, in particular, the glaciers of Greenland, which have stored a huge amount of fresh water. Because of this, the water in the Arctic Ocean is desalinated in such a cold current as the Labrodor Current, which originates in the Arctic Basin, and this current is also desalinated. Moving at the ready of the Gulf Stream, at one moment it can block the path of the Gulf Stream to the north. At the moment they meet in the area of ​​the Newfoundland bank.

Today, while the Gulf Stream is still working, the Labrador Current, despite the fact that it is already fresher, dives under the Gulf Stream, prevents it from moving north and heats all of Europe, Russia and even all of Asia and America. Therefore, we have a relatively favorable climate.

Now we are witnessing the instability of the Gulf Stream in the form of anomalies (warmth in Russia, abnormal cold in the USA). In my opinion, this is due to such an uneven Gulf Stream.

This is a common property of such complex systems, at the bifurcation point fluctuations increase in them, that is, roughly speaking, a car that has a clogged carburetor or runs out of gas will jerk before it finally stops. In the same way, the Gulf Stream, before it stops, it starts to move in such jerks.

For example, even in the fall, winter in Siberia came a little earlier. Because of this, northern delivery was disrupted in a number of regions. And even earlier, in May, it snowed in Spain. There was snow in Cairo, and for some time the Venetian canals were under the ice.

The course of the Gulf Stream brings us a huge number of such anomalies, and this is very dangerous.

To understand recent events in the world, two things must be clearly understood. The US dollar is not a state currency at all, but the money of a private firm called the Federal Reserve System (FRS). And second, catastrophic climate deterioration is coming in the coming years on both sides of the North Atlantic.

And these things are tightly interconnected. There is no political chaos. There are clear actions by the Fed on the future arrangement on planet Earth after a sharp cooling in the US and Western Europe. Exactly where the so-called golden billion lives clover now.

The warm and comfortable climate of the USA and Western Europe is 90% due to the action of the Gulf Stream ocean current, which carries 50 million cubic meters. m of warm water per second. Its capacity is equivalent to one million nuclear power plants. This "thermal additive" raises the temperature in Europe and the USA by 8-10 degrees. The action of the Gulf Stream creates exceptional conditions for agriculture in these areas. Grain yields in non-chernozem regions of Germany, France, Great Britain, and Sweden range from 60 to 85 centners per hectare. And in the chernozem Ukraine, only 24 centners are harvested, in non-chernozem Russia - 12-15 centners / ha. In Europe and the USA, there are no spring frosts that destroy crops. Today the USA and Canada export 100 million tons of grain, and Western Europe - 50 million tons a year. The yield of agricultural crops there is only 5% dependent on the climate, while in our country it is 50%.

The fertile warm climate, the absence of permafrost and freezing of the soil allow us to save trillions of dollars on infrastructure and its operation. A huge amount of fuel and electricity, building materials, and heaters are saved. There is no need to build powerful heating plants and heating mains. The population saves on warm clothes, no need to eat more high-calorie food. Due to the absence of deadly freezing and thawing processes, roads last ten times longer. Light houses are being built from cheap materials. Remember the standard scene from Hollywood action movies, how some Rimbaud punches through the wall of the house. And it's not fantasy. Strong walls are not needed there. Warm. This comrade would try to break through the wall of our house in four bricks.

On the whole, the Gulf Stream for Europe and the USA is a royal gift to their economies and populations. Live for yourself and enjoy. But then there was a big problem. "Free" Gulf Stream began to act up. The weather kitchen is located in the North Atlantic and the Arctic Ocean. The role of the heating system is played by the warm oceanic Gulf Stream, which is often called the “stove of Europe”.

Now the picture of ocean currents looks like this - the cold and denser Labrador Current "dives" under the warm and lighter Gulf Stream, without preventing it from heating Europe. Then the Labrador Current "emerges" off the coast of Spain under the name of the cold Canary Current, crosses the Atlantic, reaches the Caribbean Sea, heats up and already under the name of the Gulf Stream rushes back to the North without hindrance. Not the “greenhouse effect”, not the “ozone holes”, not the man-made activities of mankind, but the density of the Labrador waters is a key factor in the well-being of the world. At present, the density of the waters of the Labrador Current is only one tenth of a percent higher than the density of the waters of the Gulf Stream.

Only 0.1%, and as a result - palm trees in London, beaches of the Cote d'Azur, non-freezing fjords of Norway and year-round navigation in the Barents Sea
As soon as the Labrador Current becomes equal in density to the Gulf Stream, it will rise to the surface of the ocean and block the movement of the Gulf Stream to the north. The great interconnected "G8" of ocean currents will become two circular currents characteristic of the Ice Age. The Gulf Stream will head towards Spain and begin to circulate in a small circle, the cold Labrador Current will break into Europe, which will immediately begin to freeze.

Data on previous cold snaps obtained from ice drilling in Greenland show that this will happen almost instantly, even by the standards of human life. From three to ten years for the whole process - and the Gulf Stream will be "turned off". The air temperature in Europe will become Siberian in a few short years. Living in Europe, Canada and the USA will become unbearable. Today there are palm trees in London, and tomorrow Britain will be buried in snow, frosts will reach -40 ° C, and even reindeer will refuse to live there. And who would have guessed that the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico and the massive use of dispersants would affect the speed of the Gulf Stream.

According to the latest satellite data, the North Atlantic Current no longer exists in its former form. Along with it, the Norwegian Current also disappeared.

As a result of a cold snap and inevitable food shortages, each person in the "golden billion" will have to spend 3-4 thousand dollars more a year. This is 3-4 trillion. dollars. To adjust the infrastructure, it will take 15-20 trillion, to keep it in working order in winter - another two or three trillion "green".

But this is not the worst. We'll have to take the missing heat somewhere for the winter heating of a billion people and feed these "golden ones". Now the USA and Europe export 150 million tons of grain per year, and they will have to buy somewhere about the same amount of grain. So began the feverish secret preparations for climate collapse.

Even 3-4 years ago, the exodus of mini-rich people began - only millionaires of the "middle hand" left the United States - those who, despite relatively large amounts of money, still do not solve really serious issues. Now the hyper-rich have taken over. American super-oligarchs (attention!) of non-Jewish origin are buying land in Chile and Argentina. Among them (certainly) Rockefellers, Ted Turner, Holdren, Fords and others.......

What do they know about? About stopping the Gulf Stream or about the imminent explosion of the Yellowstone volcano? ...

And what to expect ... what awaits us either DROUGHT and heat, or ICE and freezing ...... or maybe a flood?

Some may have been dismayed by the headlines that appeared in the press last week that the Gulf Stream could "play in the box" in about 300 years.

However, Tore Furevik is not alarmed at all. Rather, the director of the Bjerknes Center for Climate Research, professor of oceanography, feels he is being provoked.

“I don’t think the circulation of water in the ocean will stop, although it may become weaker,” Fuurevik says. He believes that the authors of the new report are using too frightening terms, although there is no need for this.

“They say that the circulation of water in the Atlantic Ocean may stop, but the process they describe occurs gradually over many hundreds of years. And it won't stop one day."

“Whether one likes it or not, research has become more tabloid.”

NB! Please note that the concept of "Gulf Stream" does not originally mean an ocean current right off the coast of Norway. Check out the facts!

The many names of the Gulf Stream create confusion

When it comes to the Gulf Stream, you should be especially careful. In fact, we are talking about three different systems, and only one of them is a real Gulf Stream.

AMOS (Atlantic Ocean Circulation): The grandiose system of currents in the Atlantic Ocean that carries water from the equator to the poles and cold water back to the equator.

Gulf Stream: can be seen as an offshoot of the AMOS carrying warm water northward. It divides in two, most of the water flows to the east or northeast, to what is called the North Atlantic Current.

Norwegian Atlantic Current: A branch of the North Atlantic Current that continues into the Norwegian Sea and continues north along the coast of Norway. The name Gulf Stream is often misused in relation to the Norwegian Atlantic Current. It is sometimes also referred to as the "Norwegian Gulf Stream".

Source: "That's why scientists argue about the Gulf Stream" (Derfor kranglar forskarane om Golfstraumen)

"This is a dubious practice"

Furevik criticizes not only the tabloid presentation of the results of the study, but also the study itself.

The new report builds on what many say is a weak point in today's climate models: they overstate the stability of ocean currents.

By varying the amount of salt in the calculations, the scientists found that the future of ocean currents looked bleaker than other calculations predicted.

Furevik is skeptical about this. Calculations, i.e. model is still quite imperfect.

“This is a dubious practice. They are trying to fix the error artificially.”

"Scientists exaggerate results"

Fuurevik is also skeptical about the way the results are presented. The press materials say nothing about the approximate nature of the studies, the choice of such expression as "play the box" or "collapse" makes the case in a more dramatic light than it actually is.

Context

Global warming threatens the Olympics

The world is ill-prepared for global warming

The Gulf Stream can be exhausting

The Bjerknes Center has been studying ocean currents for many years, but cannot refer to discoveries as sensational as those discussed in the above-mentioned report.

“Those who say ocean currents don't change don't get big headlines in the papers,” Fuurevik says.

“Everything in society is built on this now. You definitely need to offer something new, and not just confirm that everything is exactly as you expected. ”

He doesn't agree

He refers to an interview in Business Insider where he talks about the weaknesses of the study and the need for others to continue it.

The main thought of scientists was that everyone agrees that the models exaggerate the stability of the grandiose system of currents in the Atlantic Ocean, in the language of professionals called AMOS. And they tried to give their answer to this question.

“Models always need to be improved. The question is: what should we do, given the state of the models today? Can we extract some useful information? We believe that adjusting the salt content is a way to move forward,” says Wei.

What do scientists know about ocean currents?

Thure Fürevik briefly summarizes what researchers know about the current system in the Atlantic Ocean today:

Ocean currents are resilient: Greenland ice sheet data and simplified climate models have suggested that ocean currents in the Atlantic can wax and wane over a short period of time, and that if the Gulf Stream stops, it could be due to global warming. Today it is believed that the currents in the Atlantic Ocean are more stable. It has been 11,000 years since the last time the northern branch of the Gulf Stream, what we call the Norwegian Atlantic Current, seems to have come to a halt. Today, scientists believe that this did not stop then, but that the current became a little weaker, it went deeper when it met with fresher water at the surface and continued at depth.

North 'motor' may get weaker: A warmer climate may be weakening the north's ocean current 'motor' due to warmer water, increased rainfall, and melting ice in Greenland. In a hundred years, the current may become 10-20% weaker.

The Importance of Winds: Winds are another important "motor" of ocean currents, even if the ice melts, the winds will not become weaker.

Norway warms air: Most of the heat comes to Northern Europe by air, not by sea. In other words, ocean currents are not the most important thing for the climate in the north.

The materials of InoSMI contain only assessments of foreign media and do not reflect the position of the editors of InoSMI.

MOSCOW, July 26 - RIA Novosti, Tatyana Pichugina. Since the 19th century, the oceanic heating of Western Europe has noticeably weakened. Scientists attribute this to climate change on the planet and draw gloomy scenarios for the future. What threatens the disappearance of the deep currents of the North Atlantic and what is the fate of the Gulf Stream - in the material of RIA Novosti.

Suspiciously cold

Ten years ago, south of Greenland, a patch of water the size of a European country was discovered, which, instead of warming like the rest of the planet, is cooling. It has been called the "hole in global warming", the "cold bubble" (cold blob). In 2015, he broke the temperature record for cold, although for the planet as a whole the year was the hottest.

Scientists have suggested that atmospheric aerosols accumulate above the "cold bubble" and intercept part of the solar radiation. The hypothesis was not confirmed. Now the "hole in global warming" is associated with a slowdown in the North Atlantic Current. This is the name of a part of the deep-sea conveyor, which continues the Gulf Stream, which carries heat to the Arctic.

“I used to be very annoyed by the headlines in the media that the Gulf Stream would stop. From a strictly scientific point of view, this current is on the surface of the ocean, it is generated by the winds. Something in it may change over time, but there is no sign that it will disappear in the coming centuries,” explains Nikolai Koldunov, an employee of the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research (Germany), to RIA Novosti.

With regard to the North Atlantic Current, which is often confused with the Gulf Stream, such concerns are appropriate. This current is determined by changes in salinity and water temperature (thermohaline circulation).

Salty warm waters move from south to north. They cool down, become heavier and sink deeper. There they slowly turn around and begin the return journey, which takes thousands of years. Thanks to this mechanism, the entire World Ocean is gradually mixed up.

© IPCC

How the ocean cycle breaks

The global ocean conveyor in the North Atlantic Ocean will stop if the waters warm up significantly or become fresher.

This already happened at the end of the last ice age. Then, on the territory of Canada, the melt waters of the glacier formed a huge lake Agassiz. Approximately 8,200 years ago, it very quickly poured into the ocean and lowered its salinity to such an extent that the waters in the Labrador Sea and the Norwegian Sea - where the conveyor reverses - stopped sinking. The North Atlantic Current literally lost its thrust, it stopped. The waters heated in the tropics did not reach the shores of Western Europe, Great Britain and the Scandinavian Peninsula, causing a cooling.

© RIA Novosti illustration

© RIA Novosti illustration

Relationship between warming and currents

This scenario could repeat itself, climate scientists warn. The world's oceans, though slowly, are warming up. The growing greenhouse effect in the atmosphere contributes to the melting of glaciers and the flow of fresh water into the seas. More abundant wet precipitation contributes to desalination. All this weakens the North Atlantic Current, scientists from the Potsdam Institute for the Study of Climate Change (Germany) believe.

Together with their American colleagues, they modeled the Atlantic branch of the global ocean conveyor over a long period of time and came to the conclusion that its speed has decreased by 15 percent since the middle of the 20th century. Their recent paper in Nature sparked a discussion among experts.

One of the authors, Stefan Rahmstorf, even posted detailed explanations on the collective science blog Real Climate. Consistently rejecting various options, he argued that the "cold bubble" had been predicted and that it could only be explained by the weakening of the North Atlantic Current.

According to another model, this current will weaken by a factor of three if industrial emissions of CO₂ into the atmosphere double from 1990 levels. In three hundred years the conveyor belt in the Atlantic will stop.

© RAPID-AMOC Project

© RAPID-AMOC Project

Imperfection of calculations

“It should be taken into account that all forecasts are made based on the results of modeling. With regard to the atmosphere, this works relatively well, but we are still poorly modeling the thickness of the ocean,” Koldunov notes.

According to him, we know the ocean much less than the atmosphere. Ocean exploration has always been underfunded, and expeditions are expensive. Without direct observations of water parameters, it is impossible to obtain the necessary input data for models. Until recently, there were very few of them.

“In the 1990s, measurements of the ocean from satellites began, data were received on the topography of the water surface, which can be used to study surface currents on a global scale. kilometers and transmitting information to satellites. Data are accumulating, but they are still not enough, "the scientist continues.

There are direct measurements of water transport in the pipeline in the North Atlantic for ten years - from 2004 to 2014 (RAPID-AMOC project). They do show a slowdown, but they do not say anything about the long-term trend.

Due to the lack of input data and computer power, many things have to be simplified, various tricks have to be used. For example, the group in which Koldunov works is engaged in a new generation of dynamic global models of ocean currents. In the latest work, the scientists showed how to increase the resolution in specific areas of the ocean so that there is more detail where it matters, such as in the Gulf Stream.

Ocean modeling requires enormous computational resources. And due to a point change in resolution, you can save expensive supercomputer time.